HITREP 13Feb16pm

gop

Who will win the 2016 Republican presidential nomination?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Jeb Bush
6 6 7 200
Ben Carson
1 1
Ted Cruz
18 18 19
Carly Fiorina
1 1
John Kasich
3 2 3 300 900 –900
Marco Rubio
24 24 25 50 1,200 –1,344 1
Donald Trump
49 49 50 -23 1,173 –207 1
Other
1 1
bitcoin
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BTC1606

What will be the average number of Bitcoin transactions per day during the last week of june 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
>= 250k
56 50 56 105
[200k, 250k[
25 25 29 100 2,500 –900 1
[150k, 200k[
10 10 11
< 150k
9 9 13
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BREXIT16

Will BREXIT happen in 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
The referendum won’t be held in 2016
25 21 22 200
Britons will choose to remain in the EU
57 57 58 70 3,990 –180 1
Britons will choose to leave the EU
25 21 22 -10 750 –40

Who will win the White House?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
The Democratic nominee
65 61 64 200 13,000 900
The Republican nominee
35 34 35
Someone else
2 2 5
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BYEBYE16

Which national leader below will be first to lose power in 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Bashar al-Assad (Syria)
8 8 9 100 800 –900
Abdelaziz Bouteflika (Algeria)
35 35 36 1,404
Nicolas Maduro (Venezuela)
15 15 16 100 1,500 –129
Dilma Rousseff (Brasil)
9 8 9 100 900 –500
Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (Saoudi Arabia)
6 6 7 100 600 –540
Alexis Tsipras (Greece)
6 6 7 100 600 –410
None will lose power in 2016
21 21 22
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  FREMERGENCY

Will the state of emergency in France remain in place until the end of June 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Yes
71 69 73 100 7,100 –400 1
No
30 27 31
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  LONDONMAYOR

Who will be the next mayor of London?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Sadiq Kahn (Labour)
73 70 73 708
Zac Goldsmith (Conservative)
30 27 30
Other
2 3
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  PODEMOSGOV

Will Podemos be part of the next Spanish government?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Yes
29 29 38
No
71 62 71 3,793
dem.jpg

Who will win the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Hillary Clinton
72 71 72
Bernie Sanders
27 27 28 723 19,521 1,118
Other
1 1 2
brent
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BRENT16Q1

What will be the closing price of a barrel of Brent Crude Oil on March 31, 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
< $20
5 3 5 400
[$20, $40[
73 70 74 500
[$40, $60[
23 23 24
>= $60
1 1

Will there be a Clinton-Bush duel?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Yes
3 3 6 100 300 –24 1
No
97 94 97
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