HITREP 7FEB16pm

CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BTC1606

What will be the average number of Bitcoin transactions per day during the last week of june 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
>= 250k
52 47 52 100 5,200 105
[200k, 250k[
28 28 33 100 2,800 –600
[150k, 200k[
11 11 16
< 150k
9 9 10
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BREXIT16

Will BREXIT happen in 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
The referendum won’t be held in 2016
21 21 23 100 2,100 –200
Britons will choose to remain in the EU
54 52 54 70 3,780 –390
Britons will choose to leave the EU
25 25 27

Who will win the 2016 Republican presidential nomination?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Jeb Bush
1 1 3
Ben Carson
1 2
Ted Cruz
19 16 18
Carly Fiorina
1 2
John Kasich
3 3 4
Marco Rubio
43 40 42 59 2,537 –295
Donald Trump
40 38 40
Other
1 1
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  PODEMOSGOV

Will Podemos be part of the next Spanish government?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Yes
39 35 38
No
62 62 65 300 18,600 1,993
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BYEBYE16

Which national leader below will be first to lose power in 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Bashar al-Assad (Syria)
11 11 13 100 1,100 –600
Abdelaziz Bouteflika (Algeria)
39 31 39 100 3,900 1,304
Nicolas Maduro (Venezuela)
10 11 14 100 1,000 –629
Dilma Rousseff (Brasil)
7 7 12 100 700 –700
Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (Saoudi Arabia)
10 6 10 100 1,000 –140
Alexis Tsipras (Greece)
6 6 10 100 600 –410
None will lose power in 2016
23 19 23

Who will win the White House?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
The Democratic nominee
62 61 63 200 12,400 300
The Republican nominee
37 35 37
Someone else
2 2 4
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  LONDONMAYOR

Who will be the next mayor of London?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Sadiq Kahn (Labour)
67 64 69 109 7,303 272
Zac Goldsmith (Conservative)
32 29 34
Other
1 1 2
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  BRENT16Q1

What will be the closing price of a barrel of Brent Crude Oil on March 31, 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
< $20
1 1 2
[$20, $40[
68 66 68 100 6,800 –100
[$40, $60[
33 30 32
>= $60
1 1 2

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot in the second round of the French presidential election in 2017?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Yes
70 67 70 100 7,000 100
No
33 30 33

Who will win the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Hillary Clinton
72 72 73
Bernie Sanders
26 24 26 628 16,328 680
Other
2 2 3
CRUEL WORLD 2016  >  FREMERGENCY

Will the state of emergency in France remain in place until the end of June 2016?
 Outcomes Last Sell Buy  State  Shares  Valuation  Profit  Orders
Yes
76 76 78 100 7,600 100
No
24 22 24
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