It was 74.8MM units. Moral of the story: When people say “it could just about happen” and the level is a fixed barrier, the forecast has to be: 50%. I know this already, I know better, my bad, I was just ignoring what I know.
|Date Ended||Question||Participation Rate||Brier Score||Median Score||Accuracy Score|
|Jan 26, 2016 08:00PM UTC||Will Apple sell more than 75 million iPhones in its December quarter?||100.0%||1.742||1.416||0.326|