Catching up on recent GJOpen closings

Here’s how I did.  For the Taiwan question I just followed the crowd.  For trilateral I followed the history.  For Implementation Day I followed supers and my gut:

Date Ended Question Participation Rate Brier Score Median Score Accuracy Score
Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC Will “implementation day” for the Iranian nuclear deal occur before Iran’s legislative elections? 100.00% 0.373 0.543 -0.17
Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC How many seats in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win in January’s elections? 100.00% 0.54 0.478 0.061
Dec 31, 2015 11:00PM UTC Will a trilateral meeting take place between Chinese President Xi Jinping, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and South Korean President Park Geun-hye before 1 January 2016? 98.35% 0.018 0.03 -0.012

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