To do: Picker refinement

I was filtering on people who answered any branch of a related closed question with negative Accuracy score.

Going forward I will filter on people whose sum of Accuracy scores on all bins of related questions that they forecast is negative.

Also in sorting and weighting I will look at sum of Accuracy and not average Accuracy.  This does not amount to the same thing as average for sorting purposes, because different people forecast different subsets of questions.  Using sum rather than average also rewards people for choosing their battles wisely.  I don’t: I forecast all questions.

I know what I was doing before is wrong because I was picking myself up on scans and I know that my Accuracy scores in all but a few questions are terrible.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s