Not a win for me and not a win for the Conrol Group. Final score on Iranian ICBM Launch before March 1: 100%. Control Group’s forecast: 6%. I’m not saying anything.
|Date Ended||Question||Participation Rate||Brier Score||Median Score||Accuracy Score|
|Nov 21, 2015 02:00PM UTC||When will Iran next launch a ballistic missile?||100.0%||1.896||1.409||0.486|
Although, maybe this would be a good time to recommend a book to members of the Control Group, as part of the Control Group Assistance Programme™: